Trending markets and topics
French Presidential Election · 2027: compare 23 verified outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. Find the cheaper YES price, before fees.
New here? Buy YES at 40% (40¢). It pays $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if it doesn’t. A lower price means your $100 buys more contracts.
Payouts assume YES and include your original stake, before fees. Prices can change.
Follow Congress, governors and key statewide races. See how Kalshi and Polymarket price the same outcomes.
These are market prices, not our predictions. We check that contracts cover the same outcome before comparing them. Lower % means a cheaper YES.
Lower % means a cheaper YES price. Green marks the lower valid price; ties are labelled. Displayed prices are rounded to whole percentages, while comparisons use exact quotes. Payout examples show the total returned on $100 if the outcome resolves YES, including your original stake. If it resolves NO, you receive $0. Examples exclude fees and assume the full $100 buys at the displayed price.
See both prices at a glance. Open a market to explore every outcome.
Verified snapshot. Oldest quote: 03 Sep 2026, 16:26 UTC. A lower percentage is the cheaper YES, so the same $100 buys more contracts. The last column is what that $100 returns in total at the cheaper price if the outcome resolves YES, before venue fees. Live prices replace this table when the feed connects. Prices are rounded; comparisons use exact quotes. Unreliable or lightly traded comparisons are not ranked.
| Outcome | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Cheaper venue | $100 returns if YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Cazeneuve to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Bruno Retailleau to win the 2027 French presidential election | 2% | 2% | Kalshi | $5,000 |
| Carole Delga to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| David Lisnard to win the 2027 French presidential election | 4% | 2% | Polymarket | $4,000 |
| Dominique de Villepin to win the 2027 French presidential election | 4% | 2% | Polymarket | $6,667 |
| François Bayrou to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| François Hollande to win the 2027 French presidential election | 7% | 4% | Polymarket | $2,857 |
| François Ruffin to win the 2027 French presidential election | 2% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Gabriel Attal to win the 2027 French presidential election | 6% | 3% | Polymarket | $3,226 |
| Gérald Darmanin to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Jean Castex to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $33,333 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon to win the 2027 French presidential election | 15% | 14% | Polymarket | $714 |
| Jordan Bardella to win the 2027 French presidential election | 5% | 2% | Polymarket | $4,762 |
| Laurent Wauquiez to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Manuel Bompard to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Marine Le Pen to win the 2027 French presidential election | 38% | 35% | Polymarket | $285 |
| Olivier Faure to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $33,333 |
| Sarah Knafo to win the 2027 French presidential election | 3% | 1% | Polymarket | $9,091 |
| Sébastien Lecornu to win the 2027 French presidential election | 2% | <1% | Polymarket | $12,500 |
| Valérie Pécresse to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet to win the 2027 French presidential election | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Édouard Philippe to win the 2027 French presidential election | 26% | 28% | Kalshi | $385 |
| Éric Zemmour to win the 2027 French presidential election | 2% | <1% | Polymarket | $12,500 |
Follow your favorite topics. Get an email when Kalshi and Polymarket prices differ by the amount you choose.
We include new qualifying markets automatically. Confirm your email to start. Unsubscribe anytime.
The lowest valid price comes first. We don’t currently earn referral fees from the venues shown. Any future paid partnerships will be disclosed and will never change the price ranking.