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2028 Democratic Nomination: compare 47 verified outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. Find the cheaper YES price, before fees.
New here? Buy YES at 40% (40¢). It pays $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if it doesn’t. A lower price means your $100 buys more contracts.
Payouts assume YES and include your original stake, before fees. Prices can change.
Follow Congress, governors and key statewide races. See how Kalshi and Polymarket price the same outcomes.
These are market prices, not our predictions. We check that contracts cover the same outcome before comparing them. Lower % means a cheaper YES.
Lower % means a cheaper YES price. Green marks the lower valid price; ties are labelled. Displayed prices are rounded to whole percentages, while comparisons use exact quotes. Payout examples show the total returned on $100 if the outcome resolves YES, including your original stake. If it resolves NO, you receive $0. Examples exclude fees and assume the full $100 buys at the displayed price.
See both prices at a glance. Open a market to explore every outcome.
Verified snapshot. Oldest quote: 08 Nov 2026, 22:05 UTC. A lower percentage is the cheaper YES, so the same $100 buys more contracts. The last column is what that $100 returns in total at the cheaper price if the outcome resolves YES, before venue fees. Live prices replace this table when the feed connects. Prices are rounded; comparisons use exact quotes. Unreliable or lightly traded comparisons are not ranked.
| Outcome | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Cheaper venue | $100 returns if YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 2% | 2% | Polymarket | $6,667 |
| Abigail Spanberger to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $100,000 |
| Adam Hamilton to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 14% | 16% | Kalshi | $714 |
| Andrew Yang to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Andy Beshear to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 5% | 4% | Polymarket | $2,439 |
| Barack Obama to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Bernie Sanders to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $33,333 |
| Chris Murphy to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $33,333 |
| Chris Van Hollen to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $14,286 |
| Cory Booker to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $14,286 |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $50,000 |
| Elissa Slotkin to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $33,333 |
| Gavin Newsom to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 13% | 10% | Polymarket | $952 |
| Gina Raimondo to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $100,000 |
| Graham Platner to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $100,000 |
| Gretchen Whitmer to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $16,667 |
| Hakeem Jeffries to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $50,000 |
| Hillary Clinton to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $100,000 |
| Hunter Biden to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| J.B. Pritzker to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 2% | 2% | Polymarket | $6,667 |
| James Talarico to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 4% | 3% | Polymarket | $3,704 |
| Jared Polis to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $100,000 |
| Jasmine Crockett to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $100,000 |
| John Fetterman to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Jon Ossoff to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 25% | 26% | Kalshi | $400 |
| Jon Stewart to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $33,333 |
| Josh Shapiro to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 4% | 5% | Kalshi | $2,273 |
| Kamala Harris to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 6% | 6% | Polymarket | $1,667 |
| LeBron James to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $100,000 |
| Liz Cheney to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $100,000 |
| Mark Cuban to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $25,000 |
| Mark Kelly to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 4% | 2% | Polymarket | $5,000 |
| Michelle Obama to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $20,000 |
| Mitch Landrieu to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $100,000 |
| Pete Buttigieg to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 5% | 5% | Kalshi | $1,887 |
| Phil Murphy to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Kalshi | $100,000 |
| Rahm Emanuel to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 2% | 1% | Polymarket | $9,091 |
| Raphael Warnock to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 4% | 4% | Kalshi | $2,703 |
| Ro Khanna to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 2% | 2% | Tied | $5,263 |
| Roy Cooper to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $16,667 |
| Ruben Gallego to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $25,000 |
| Scott Colom to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Stephen A. Smith to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Polymarket | $50,000 |
| Tim Walz to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $100,000 |
| Wes Moore to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | 3% | 3% | Tied | $3,846 |
| Zohran Mamdani to win the 2028 Democratic nomination | <1% | <1% | Tied | $50,000 |
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