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Spotify Top Song · 2026: compare 12 verified outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. Find the cheaper YES price, before fees.
New here? Buy YES at 40% (40¢). It pays $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if it doesn’t. A lower price means your $100 buys more contracts.
Payouts assume YES and include your original stake, before fees. Prices can change.
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These are market prices, not our predictions. We check that contracts cover the same outcome before comparing them. Lower % means a cheaper YES.
Lower % means a cheaper YES price. Green marks the lower valid price; ties are labelled. Displayed prices are rounded to whole percentages, while comparisons use exact quotes. Payout examples show the total returned on $100 if the outcome resolves YES, including your original stake. If it resolves NO, you receive $0. Examples exclude fees and assume the full $100 buys at the displayed price.
See both prices at a glance. Open a market to explore every outcome.
Verified snapshot. Oldest quote: 03 Sep 2026, 16:26 UTC. A lower percentage is the cheaper YES, so the same $100 buys more contracts. The last column is what that $100 returns in total at the cheaper price if the outcome resolves YES, before venue fees. Live prices replace this table when the feed connects. Prices are rounded; comparisons use exact quotes. Unreliable or lightly traded comparisons are not ranked.
| Outcome | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Cheaper venue | $100 returns if YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 26% | 20% | Polymarket | $488 |
| "End of Beginning to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 75% | 74% | Polymarket | $136 |
| "stupid song to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| APT. to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Beauty And A Beat to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 4% | 4% | Tied | $2,500 |
| Billie Jean to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Die With A Smile to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 2% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Drop Dead to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $20,000 |
| Man I Need to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Stateside to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $100,000 |
| Swim to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 14% | <1% | Polymarket | $25,000 |
| hate that i made you love me to be Spotify's top song of 2026 | 1% | <1% | Polymarket | $20,000 |
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The lowest valid price comes first. We don’t currently earn referral fees from the venues shown. Any future paid partnerships will be disclosed and will never change the price ranking.