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Confirmed Ebola Cases by Country · 2026: compare 12 verified outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. Find the cheaper YES price, before fees.
New here? Buy YES at 40% (40¢). It pays $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if it doesn’t. A lower price means your $100 buys more contracts.
Payouts assume YES and include your original stake, before fees. Prices can change.
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These are market prices, not our predictions. We check that contracts cover the same outcome before comparing them. Lower % means a cheaper YES.
Lower % means a cheaper YES price. Green marks the lower valid price; ties are labelled. Displayed prices are rounded to whole percentages, while comparisons use exact quotes. Payout examples show the total returned on $100 if the outcome resolves YES, including your original stake. If it resolves NO, you receive $0. Examples exclude fees and assume the full $100 buys at the displayed price.
See both prices at a glance. Open a market to explore every outcome.
Verified snapshot. Oldest quote: 03 Sep 2026, 16:26 UTC. A lower percentage is the cheaper YES, so the same $100 buys more contracts. The last column is what that $100 returns in total at the cheaper price if the outcome resolves YES, before venue fees. Live prices replace this table when the feed connects. Prices are rounded; comparisons use exact quotes. Unreliable or lightly traded comparisons are not ranked.
| Outcome | Kalshi YES | Polymarket YES | Cheaper venue | $100 returns if YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burundi to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 33% | 47% | Kalshi | $303 |
| Canada to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 17% | 31% | Kalshi | $588 |
| China to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 9% | 15% | Kalshi | $1,111 |
| Ethiopia to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 17% | 94% | Comparison on hold | — |
| India to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 19% | 19% | Tied | $526 |
| Kenya to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 19% | 29% | Kalshi | $526 |
| Nigeria to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 14% | 29% | Kalshi | $714 |
| Rwanda to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 29% | 34% | Kalshi | $345 |
| Somalia to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 79% | 58% | Polymarket | $172 |
| South Sudan to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 60% | 65% | Kalshi | $167 |
| the Republic of the Congo to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 21% | 35% | Kalshi | $476 |
| the United States to report a confirmed Ebola case in 2026 | 18% | 24% | Kalshi | $556 |
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The lowest valid price comes first. We don’t currently earn referral fees from the venues shown. Any future paid partnerships will be disclosed and will never change the price ranking.