A price move needs a story behind it.
We couldn’t verify an explanation for a qualifying price move in this edition. Explore the confirmed results below.
What changed.Why it matters.
Big price moves. Surprising results. Explore what changed during this edition’s seven-day window and the verified events behind it.
Long shot of the week
A long shot that came through.
A look back at a confirmed winner first priced at 10% or less. These are past results.
RESOLVED YES · August 9, 2026
Michael Brennan to win the 2026 Wyndham Championship
At roughly 1%, Michael Brennan was priced as a remote possibility. It resolved YES. A $100 position at that early price would have returned approximately $10,000 before fees.
Kalshi finalized YES · Polymarket YES history closed at 100%100×estimated return multiple
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Behind this edition
What made the cut.
How we checked the numbers and chose the stories.
Verified coverage
150 price histories checked.Spanning 31 markets in this edition.
Quality control
Only stable moves make the cut.Isolated opening quotes are removed before ranking, so one noisy first tick does not become a story.
Previous editions